{"id":6273,"date":"2021-01-26T15:13:08","date_gmt":"2021-01-26T18:13:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=6273"},"modified":"2021-01-26T16:33:15","modified_gmt":"2021-01-26T19:33:15","slug":"riscos-globais-2021-pandemia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=6273","title":{"rendered":"Riscos Globais 2021 \u2013 Pandemia, Economia, Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da &#8220;Normalidade\u201d e Clima"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nesta semana se realiza o <strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/events\/the-davos-agenda-2021\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/events\/the-davos-agenda-2021\" target=\"_blank\">F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/a><\/strong>, que re\u00fane l\u00edderes mundiais (grandes empres\u00e1rios, chefes de estado e pol\u00edticos de relev\u00e2ncia) para discutir problemas contempor\u00e2neos em janeiro de cada ano. Usualmente em Davos, na Su\u00ed\u00e7a, neste 2020\/2021 <em>\u201ccisne negro\u201d <\/em>(denomina\u00e7\u00e3o criada por Nassim Nicholas Taleb para acontecimentos imprevis\u00edveis com resultados impactantes) ele se mudou para o mundo online nesta semana, e o encontro presencial foi previsto para se realizar em maio em Singapura.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sob o slogan <strong>\u201cO\u00a0Grande Rein\u00edcio\u201d<\/strong>,\u00a0o assunto central do di\u00e1logo desta edi\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00e3o as consequ\u00eancias da <strong>crise da COVID-19<\/strong> e a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia mundial (como n\u00e3o poderia deixar de ser), focando em sete tem\u00e1ticas concretas: como salvar o planeta, economias mais justas, tecnologia para o bem, o futuro do trabalho, empresas mais justas, futuros mais saud\u00e1veis e mais al\u00e9m da geopol\u00edtica. E, como poderia deixar de ser, o Jair Bolsonaro n\u00e3o vai participar do evento&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/reports\/the-global-risks-report-2021\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/reports\/the-global-risks-report-2021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">relat\u00f3rio de riscos globais 2021<\/a><\/strong> do F\u00f3rum\u00a0traz mudan\u00e7as em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a anos anteriores, como era de se esperar. O relat\u00f3rio faz um hist\u00f3rico das an\u00e1lises e alertas do <strong>F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/strong> quanto aos riscos de pandemia (nos anos de 2006, 2013, 2016, 2019 e 2020), que se materializou em 2020 e trouxe as consequ\u00eancias que todos est\u00e3o acompanhando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Particularmente, chama a aten\u00e7\u00e3o para:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>O aumento dos impactos sociais, agora representando 3 entre os 10 maiores riscos em 2021) \u2013 doen\u00e7as infecciosas, crise de subsist\u00eancia e eros\u00e3o da coes\u00e3o social \u2013 mais de 2 milh\u00f5es de mortos at\u00e9 o momento, e apenas no segundo trimestre de 2020 foram perdidas horas de trabalho equivalentes a 495 milh\u00f5es de empregos;<\/li><li>A prem\u00eancia da coopera\u00e7\u00e3o para combater o aquecimento global, maior risco global de longo prazo. Os riscos ambientais continuam consistentemente no topo da lista (5 entre os 10 maiores em 2021);<\/li><li>Os seus impactos econ\u00f4micos, incluindo a estagna\u00e7\u00e3o prolongada e a crise fiscal dos pa\u00edses, e as transforma\u00e7\u00f5es setoriais em fun\u00e7\u00e3o da pandemia e da digitaliza\u00e7\u00e3o que se acelerou;<\/li><li>Preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es quanto ao aumento da concentra\u00e7\u00e3o de poder digital e seus riscos, como de falhas na cyber-seguran\u00e7a;<\/li><li>Preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es quanto ao impacto de armas de destrui\u00e7\u00e3o em massa (terceiro maior, abaixo somente da falha em prevenir\/mitigar o aquecimento global, e das doen\u00e7as infectocontagiosas), apesar da probabilidade baixa de ocorr\u00eancia.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os riscos foram analisados tamb\u00e9m em fun\u00e7\u00e3o do prazo: de curto prazo (at\u00e9 2 anos) &#8211; perigos claros e presentes de m\u00e9dio prazo (de 3 a 5 anos) &#8211; efeitos em cadeia; e riscos de longo prazo (5 a 10 anos) \u2013 amea\u00e7as existenciais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"811\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto.jpg\" alt=\"riscos globais curto prazo\" class=\"wp-image-6276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto.jpg 811w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto-768x341.jpg 768w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto-50x22.jpg 50w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-curto-100x44.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 811px) 100vw, 811px\" \/><figcaption>Relat\u00f3rio de Riscos Globais 2021 &#8211; curto prazo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"794\" height=\"335\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio.jpg\" alt=\"riscos globais medio prazo\" class=\"wp-image-6277\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio.jpg 794w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio-300x127.jpg 300w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio-768x324.jpg 768w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio-50x21.jpg 50w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-medio-100x42.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 794px) 100vw, 794px\" \/><figcaption>Relat\u00f3rio de Riscos Globais 2021 &#8211; m\u00e9dio prazo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"798\" height=\"332\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo.jpg\" alt=\"riscos globais longo prazo\" class=\"wp-image-6278\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo.jpg 798w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo-300x125.jpg 300w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo-768x320.jpg 768w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo-50x21.jpg 50w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-riscos-globais-longo-100x42.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 798px) 100vw, 798px\" \/><figcaption>Relat\u00f3rio de Riscos Globais 2021 &#8211; longo prazo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"713\" height=\"698\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape.jpg\" alt=\"landscape\" class=\"wp-image-6279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape.jpg 713w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-300x294.jpg 300w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-53x53.jpg 53w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-50x50.jpg 50w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-100x98.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 713px) 100vw, 713px\" \/><figcaption>Cen\u00e1rio dos Riscos Globais 2021<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"181\" height=\"195\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-legenda-mini.jpg\" alt=\"legenda landscape 2021\" class=\"wp-image-6280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-legenda-mini.jpg 181w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-legenda-mini-46x50.jpg 46w, https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ellux-consultoria-landscape-legenda-mini-93x100.jpg 93w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 181px) 100vw, 181px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00e1 muito o que discutir. Em todos os anos sempre houve. Mas n\u00e3o como nesse, em que o mundo virou de ponta-cabe\u00e7a&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esperamos que haja serenidade e coopera\u00e7\u00e3o positiva para enfrentar essa grande crise de nossos tempos, procurando o bem maior para o planeta e para o maior n\u00famero poss\u00edvel de pessoas, sem privil\u00e9gios de qualquer tipo (que o mundo j\u00e1 n\u00e3o aceita), reduzindo as desigualdades que s\u00f3 tem aumentado,. O mundo est\u00e1 mais globalizado do que nunca&#8230; nunca antes em nossa hist\u00f3ria a express\u00e3o <strong>\u201cNosso futuro comum\u201d<\/strong> se tornou t\u00e3o real e t\u00e3o necess\u00e1ria como conceito e pr\u00e1tica. O ponto da virada (<em>the turning point<\/em>) chegou? Ou \u00e9 o ponto sem retorno (<em>the point of no-return<\/em>)?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"188\" class=\"wp-image-588\" style=\"width: 150px;\" src=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/ellux-consultoria-michel-e1606400814490.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Michel Epelbaum\u00a0<\/strong>\u2013 Diretor da<strong>\u00a0Ellux Consultoria<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diretor da Ellux Consultoria.&nbsp;Tem mais de 25 anos de experi\u00eancia nacional e internacional em gest\u00e3o de sustentabilidade, qualidade, meio ambiente, sa\u00fade ocupacional e seguran\u00e7a, e&nbsp;<em>compliance<\/em>.&nbsp; \u00c9 membro dos Comit\u00eas T\u00e9cnicos da ABNT de Gest\u00e3o Ambiental, Antissuborno, Riscos, Governan\u00e7a, Responsabilidade Social e Energia. \u00c9 Lead Assessor nas normas ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001, ISO 45001, ISO 19600 e ISO 37001.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Consulte nossos servi\u00e7os de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/consultoria\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Consultoria<\/strong><\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/treinamentos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Treinamento<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;e&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/auditoria\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Auditoria<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;em Sistemas de Gest\u00e3o&nbsp;<strong>inclusive&nbsp;<\/strong>nas Normas&nbsp;<strong>ISO 37301, ISO 19600&nbsp;<\/strong>\u2013&nbsp;<strong>compliance e&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>ISO 37001<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2013&nbsp;<strong>antissuborno,<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>. Al\u00e9m de outras como&nbsp;ISO 9001, ISO 14001, ISO 45001, ISO 26000, NBR 16001 E ISO 50001.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Saiba mais em nossos posts relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/riscos-globais-2020\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/riscos-globais-2020\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Riscos Globais 2020 \u2013 aquecimento global se destaca no F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial 2020<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/forum-economico-riscos-globais\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Riscos Globais 2019 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/riscos-globais-2018\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Riscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/riscos-globais-2017\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Riscos Globais 2017 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/global-risks-2016-forum-economico-mundial\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Global Risks 2016 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/iso-31000-gestao-riscos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mudan\u00e7as na ISO 31000 \u2013 Gest\u00e3o de Riscos<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.elluxconsultoria.com.br\/novidades-gestao-de-riscos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Novidades nas Normas ISO de Gest\u00e3o de Riscos!<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nesta semana se realiza o F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial, que re\u00fane l\u00edderes mundiais (grandes empres\u00e1rios, chefes de estado e pol\u00edticos de relev\u00e2ncia) para discutir problemas contempor\u00e2neos em janeiro de cada ano. Usualmente em Davos, na Su\u00ed\u00e7a, neste 2020\/2021 \u201ccisne negro\u201d (denomina\u00e7\u00e3o criada por Nassim Nicholas Taleb para acontecimentos imprevis\u00edveis com resultados impactantes) ele se mudou para<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=6273\" class=\"themebutton2\">READ MORE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":6281,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-riscos","post_format-post-format-image"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Riscos Globais 2021 \u2013 Pandemia, Economia, Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da &quot;Normalidade\u201d e Clima - Ellux Consultoria<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=6273\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Riscos Globais 2021 \u2013 Pandemia, Economia, Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da &quot;Normalidade\u201d e Clima - Ellux Consultoria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nesta semana se realiza o F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial, que re\u00fane l\u00edderes mundiais (grandes empres\u00e1rios, chefes de estado e pol\u00edticos de relev\u00e2ncia) para discutir problemas contempor\u00e2neos em janeiro de cada ano. 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