{"id":2212,"date":"2018-01-23T19:47:41","date_gmt":"2018-01-23T19:47:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=2212"},"modified":"2018-09-18T15:10:01","modified_gmt":"2018-09-18T15:10:01","slug":"riscos-globais-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=2212","title":{"rendered":"Riscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial"},"content":{"rendered":"

Em tempos de COSO ERM (Enterprise Risk Management<\/strong><\/em>) e nova vers\u00e3o da ISO 31000<\/strong>, sempre vale analisar a compila\u00e7\u00e3o da an\u00e1lise dos riscos globais do rec\u00e9m lan\u00e7ado relat\u00f3rio anual de janeiro do F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial de 2018<\/strong><\/a> (ora em realiza\u00e7\u00e3o), que segue resumida abaixo:<\/p>\n

\"Global<\/p>\n

\"Global<\/p>\n

FIGURA 1: The Global Risks Landscape 2018<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vale ressaltar os 7 riscos socioambientais dentre os 11 mais cr\u00edticos: eventos clim\u00e1ticos extremos, desastres naturais, falha na mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o\/adapta\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas, crise da \u00e1gua, perdas de biodiversidade e colapso de ecossistemas, migra\u00e7\u00e3o involunt\u00e1ria de grande escala, desastres ambientais causados pelo homem (no quadrante dos riscos mais cr\u00edticos, somente um n\u00e3o socioambiental foi contabilizado: risco de ataques cibern\u00e9ticos). Nos \u00faltimos anos alguns riscos ambientais vem sendo avaliados dentre os 5 mais cr\u00edticos, ou de maior impacto ou de maior probabilidade.<\/p>\n

No relat\u00f3rio s\u00e3o explicados:<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] Aumento dos eventos extremos<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] Altas temperaturas do ano de 2017 (nos primeiros 9 meses do ano, a temperatura ficou 1,1\u00ba C acima dos n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-industriais \u2013 o Acordo de Paris est\u00e1 tentando limitar o aumento de temperaturas a 1,5\u00ba C),<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] 10% de todas as mortes ocorridas anualmente decorrem de polui\u00e7\u00e3o (dentro do ambiente ou do ambiente externo), segundo a OMS.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] A perda atual de biodiversidade ocorre a taxas de extin\u00e7\u00e3o em massa de esp\u00e9cies.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] Riscos econ\u00f4micos e sociais decorrentes do combate ao aquecimento global em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 economia de baixo carbono.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”arrow-right” wrap=”i”] Riscos de fatores pol\u00edticos interferirem neste processo de combate ao aquecimento global (p.ex. vindo dos EUA e seu presidente Trump).<\/p>\n

Interessante tamb\u00e9m avaliar as tend\u00eancias (de longo prazo) consideradas pelo WEF por influenciar nos riscos globais:<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Envelhecimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Mudan\u00e7a de estrutura e cen\u00e1rio da governan\u00e7a internacional (institui\u00e7\u00f5es globais e regionais).<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Degrada\u00e7\u00e3o do meio ambiente.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da classe m\u00e9dia nos pa\u00edses emergentes.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento do sentimento nacionalista.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da polariza\u00e7\u00e3o das sociedades.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento das doen\u00e7as cr\u00f4nicas.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da depend\u00eancia cibern\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da mobilidade geogr\u00e1fica.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da renda e de sua disparidade.<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Mudan\u00e7a de poder (de governos para atores e indiv\u00edduos n\u00e3o governamentais; do n\u00edvel global para o regional; das economias desenvolvidas para as emergentes).<\/p>\n

[wp-svg-icons icon=”pushpin” wrap=”i”] Aumento da urbaniza\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

\u00c9 importante assimilar que, apesar de ter alguns riscos avaliados dentre os mais cr\u00edticos globais<\/strong><\/a>, ainda h\u00e1 a percep\u00e7\u00e3o de que os riscos econ\u00f4micos, geopol\u00edticos e tecnol\u00f3gicos s\u00e3o considerados mais preocupantes nos pr\u00f3ximos 10 anos para fazer neg\u00f3cios do que os sociais e ambientais, de modo geral… sinal de que ainda precisamos trabalhar bastante a conscientiza\u00e7\u00e3o da Alta Dire\u00e7\u00e3o e acionistas das empresas.<\/p>\n

Michel Epelbaum\u00a0<\/strong>\u2013 Diretor da\u00a0Ellux Consultoria<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Consulte nossos servi\u00e7os de\u00a0Consultoria<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0Treinamento<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0e\u00a0Auditoria<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0em Sistemas de Gest\u00e3o, inclusive nas Normas\u00a0\u00a0ISO 31000,<\/strong>\u00a0ISO 14001, ISO 9001, ISO 37001<\/strong>,\u00a0ISO 19600,<\/strong>\u00a0ISO 45001 e ISO 26000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Saiba mais em nossos posts relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n

MUDAN\u00c7AS NA ISO 31000 \u2013 GEST\u00c3O DE RISCOS<\/a><\/p>\n

NOVIDADES NAS NORMAS ISO DE GEST\u00c3O DE RISCOS!<\/a><\/p>\n

A IMPORT\u00c2NCIA DA AVALIA\u00c7\u00c3O DE RISCOS NOS SISTEMAS DE GEST\u00c3O DE COMPLIANCE<\/a><\/p>\n

ACIDENTES RECENTES X PREVEN\u00c7\u00c3O<\/a><\/p>\n

RISCOS GLOBAIS 2017 \u2013 F\u00d3RUM ECON\u00d4MICO MUNDIAL<\/a><\/p>\n

GLOBAL RISKS 2016 \u2013 F\u00d3RUM ECON\u00d4MICO MUNDIAL<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Em tempos de COSO ERM (Enterprise Risk Management) e nova vers\u00e3o da ISO 31000, sempre vale analisar a compila\u00e7\u00e3o da an\u00e1lise dos riscos globais do rec\u00e9m lan\u00e7ado relat\u00f3rio anual de janeiro do F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial de 2018 (ora em realiza\u00e7\u00e3o), que segue resumida abaixo: FIGURA 1: The Global Risks Landscape 2018 Vale ressaltar os 7<\/p>\n

READ MORE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":2222,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[82,36],"class_list":["post-2212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-riscos","tag-gestao-de-riscos","tag-iso-31000","post_format-post-format-image"],"yoast_head":"\nRiscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial - Ellux Consultoria<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=2212\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Riscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial - Ellux Consultoria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Em tempos de COSO ERM (Enterprise Risk Management) e nova vers\u00e3o da ISO 31000, sempre vale analisar a compila\u00e7\u00e3o da an\u00e1lise dos riscos globais do rec\u00e9m lan\u00e7ado relat\u00f3rio anual de janeiro do F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial de 2018 (ora em realiza\u00e7\u00e3o), que segue resumida abaixo: FIGURA 1: The Global Risks Landscape 2018 Vale ressaltar os 7READ MORE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/?p=2212\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Ellux Consultoria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-01-23T19:47:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2018-09-18T15:10:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/ellux-consultoria-global-risks-map-2018.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"505\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"504\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. tempo de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2037ac1745c6bcb20c361aa15889ccad\"},\"headline\":\"Riscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-01-23T19:47:41+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-09-18T15:10:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212\"},\"wordCount\":647,\"commentCount\":3,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/01\\\/ellux-consultoria-global-risks-map-2018.png\",\"keywords\":[\"gest\u00e3o de riscos\",\"ISO 31000\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Riscos\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/elluxconsultoria.com.br\\\/?p=2212\",\"name\":\"Riscos Globais 2018 \u2013 F\u00f3rum Econ\u00f4mico Mundial - 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